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Oliver Buchannon
Brad Roth

Daily market signals from Brad Roth: THOR Funds & Host of Behind the Ticker Podcast. $THIR $THLV

The Thirty-Year Made a New High.

Aug 18, 2026

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4 min read

The Thirty-Year Made a New High.

Long borrowing costs hit fresh highs in America, Japan and Germany overnight, and metals sold off with them. Materials and real estate both finished Monday within 3.5% of their own 52-week highs.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Consumer Slowed. Futures Went Up Anyway

Aug 17, 2026

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4 min read

The Consumer Slowed. Futures Went Up Anyway

July retail sales fell 0.6% in America, and overnight China reported growth less than half of what economists expected. The even-weight strategy runs six real-economy sectors that price off industrial demand and rates rather than off the checkout line.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Everybody Watched Oil. The Bond Auction Was the Bigger Story

Aug 16, 2026

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6 min read

Everybody Watched Oil. The Bond Auction Was the Bigger Story

A 30-year Treasury sale cleared at the highest yield since 2001 while energy led every American sector. Utilities was the strongest of the six real-economy sectors in the even-weight strategy.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Bond Market Is Arguing With Itself. Retail Sales Settles It

Aug 14, 2026

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4 min read

The Bond Market Is Arguing With Itself. Retail Sales Settles It

The two-year yield fell overnight while the thirty-year pushed back toward the top of its 52-week range. Financials and real estate are the two sectors in the even-weight strategy that answer to opposite ends of that curve.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Gulf Premium Is Draining Out of Oil. Producer Prices Get the Last Word

Aug 13, 2026

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4 min read

The Gulf Premium Is Draining Out of Oil. Producer Prices Get the Last Word

Crude fell through $82 overnight and the options market that prices oil risk fell more than twice as fast. Industrials is the largest sector position in the even-weight strategy, and freight had the strongest day on the American board.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Bond Market Relaxed Overnight. Inflation Data Decides If It Was Right

Aug 12, 2026

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4 min read

The Bond Market Relaxed Overnight. Inflation Data Decides If It Was Right

Every Treasury maturity fell after crude stopped climbing near $83, and July inflation arrives before the opening bell. Healthcare is the sector in the even-weight strategy that answers to neither.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Crude Rose 8% in Two Sessions. Inflation Data Lands in the Morning

Aug 11, 2026

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4 min read

Crude Rose 8% in Two Sessions. Inflation Data Lands in the Morning

Iran and Washington traded reparation demands over the Strait of Hormuz, and the 10-year yield now sits within four basis points of a 52-week high. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with materials the largest of the six real-economy sectors they own.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Gold Keeps Climbing.

Aug 10, 2026

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4 min read

Gold Keeps Climbing.

July inflation lands Wednesday morning with gold near $4,400 and the volatility index still at 15. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with industrials the largest of the six real-economy sectors they own.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Hiring Went Negative. The Rate-Hike Debate Ended That Morning

Aug 9, 2026

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5 min read

Hiring Went Negative. The Rate-Hike Debate Ended That Morning

The U.S. economy shed 23,000 jobs in July against expectations for a gain of 83,000, and September hike odds fell to 44% inside the hour. Both published strategies finished the week near fully invested, with materials and industrials the two strongest of the six sectors they own.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Silver Ran 5% Overnight. Nobody Waited for the Jobs Number

Aug 7, 2026

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4 min read

Silver Ran 5% Overnight. Nobody Waited for the Jobs Number

Gold and silver bid hard into the July payrolls report while the volatility index sits at 15. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with utilities and healthcare doing the defensive work from inside the equity market rather than out of it.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Fed Is Talking About Raising Rates. Hiring Came In at 44,000

Aug 6, 2026

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4 min read

The Fed Is Talking About Raising Rates. Hiring Came In at 44,000

Two officials floated a hike on the same afternoon private payrolls missed badly, and the July jobs report lands Friday morning. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with financials at full size as the position that gets paid directly off the front end of the curve.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
AMD Doubled Its Data Center Sales. The Stock Is Down 8% Before the Open

Aug 5, 2026

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4 min read

AMD Doubled Its Data Center Sales. The Stock Is Down 8% Before the Open

A chipmaker beat on every line and lost it all overnight, and the options market now prices the growth benchmark for nearly nine points more turbulence than the S&P 500. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with six real-economy sectors at full size and both broad American averages closing at records.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Factories Say Prices Are the Worst Since the Pandemic. Nobody Sold

Aug 4, 2026

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4 min read

Factories Say Prices Are the Worst Since the Pandemic. Nobody Sold

A manufacturing survey put cost pressure above its pandemic-era peak and crude stopped falling the same morning, and the S&P 500 still closed 1.48% higher. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with materials at full size as the position whose revenue line is the price of things.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Oil Fell 6% Before the Open. Washington Was Busy Defending the Yen

Aug 3, 2026

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4 min read

Oil Fell 6% Before the Open. Washington Was Busy Defending the Yen

A collapse in crude pulled every Treasury maturity down with it, and the first American participation in a currency intervention in decades barely registered in U.S. stocks. Both published strategies open near fully invested, with real estate and the rest of the real-economy sectors at full size.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Three Fed Officials Voted to Hike. The Week Still Closed Green

Aug 2, 2026

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6 min read

Three Fed Officials Voted to Hike. The Week Still Closed Green

The most divided Fed meeting in a decade pushed the cost of thirty-year money to levels last seen in 2007, and then two earnings reports walked in and took the week back. Both published strategies finished the week owning the parts of the market that trade on results rather than on rate math.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Microsoft Gained 15% in a Day. Somebody Still Has to Power It

Jul 31, 2026

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4 min read

Microsoft Gained 15% in a Day. Somebody Still Has to Power It

Two earnings reports reversed a month of anxiety about what artificial intelligence costs, and the electricity underneath the build is the part that never traded on sentiment. The even-weight strategy runs six real-economy sectors inside twenty basis points of each other, with utilities at full size.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Fed Chose Patience. The 30-Year Went Back to 2007

Jul 30, 2026

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4 min read

The Fed Chose Patience. The 30-Year Went Back to 2007

Rates stayed put with inflation at 4.2% and three officials dissenting for a hike, and the long end of the Treasury market rendered its verdict within the hour. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with healthcare stepping in at full size as the sector that gave up the least on the worst session since April 2025.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Fed Decides at Two. Oil Spent the Night Making It Harder

Jul 29, 2026

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4 min read

The Fed Decides at Two. Oil Spent the Night Making It Harder

Fresh fighting in the Gulf sent crude up 5% overnight, clawing back a chunk of a three-session collapse just hours before a decision where a rate hike carries real odds. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with financials coming off a fresh 52-week high as the heaviest real-economy sector position.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Korea Lost 11% Overnight. The Fed Might Hike Tomorrow

Jul 28, 2026

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4 min read

Korea Lost 11% Overnight. The Fed Might Hike Tomorrow

A report that Nvidia is weighing a $250 billion backstop for OpenAI turned into an 11% crash in Seoul and another leg down in semiconductors. Dow futures are green anyway. The even-weight strategy walks into tomorrow's Fed decision spread across seven sectors, with materials and industrials picking up what cheaper oil and contracted build-out work pay out.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Two Quiet Nights in the Gulf. Oil Fell 7% Before Sunrise

Jul 27, 2026

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4 min read

Two Quiet Nights in the Gulf. Oil Fell 7% Before Sunrise

The US paused strikes on Iran for a second consecutive night, Tehran halted its own retaliation, and crude gave back seven percent in one overnight session. Equity markets on three continents are green, the long end is falling, and Wednesday's Fed decision suddenly has a cheaper inflation backdrop to work with.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Big Tech Lost Nearly $800 Billion. The Average Stock Barely Noticed

Jul 26, 2026

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7 min read

Big Tech Lost Nearly $800 Billion. The Average Stock Barely Noticed

Alphabet and Tesla told the market what the AI build actually costs, and the seven largest companies in America shed close to $800 billion in a single session. Underneath that, eight of eleven sectors finished the week higher and the equal-weight index closed green. The even-weight construction owned the half of the market that worked.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Tech Had Its Worst Day in a Month. The Dow Barely Blinked

Jul 24, 2026

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4 min read

Tech Had Its Worst Day in a Month. The Dow Barely Blinked

Alphabet and Tesla reopened the fight over what AI build-outs are worth, and the Nasdaq took its steepest loss in a month while the Dow fell a fraction as far. The rotation strategy walks in holding that average as its single heaviest position among three near-equal benchmark stakes, and the even-weight build stays anchored in the real-economy sectors that a growth-led drop leaves alone.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Alphabet Beat Everything. The Bill Came With It

Jul 23, 2026

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4 min read

Alphabet Beat Everything. The Bill Came With It

Revenue grew 24%, cloud grew 82%, and the stock is down more than 4% before the open because the company told the market it will spend as much as $205 billion this year. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with real estate at a near-full sector position on the receiving end of that same budget.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
Everyone's Watching Alphabet Tonight. Oil Just Made the Louder Move

Jul 22, 2026

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4 min read

Everyone's Watching Alphabet Tonight. Oil Just Made the Louder Move

Brent cleared $95 for the first time in six weeks after Washington and Tehran both walked away from the table, and that is what has futures red into the biggest earnings night of the quarter. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, with financials the heaviest real-economy position and every major benchmark owned in roughly equal thirds.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
The Market Stopped Bracing for the Worst

Jul 21, 2026

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4 min read

The Market Stopped Bracing for the Worst

The fear gauge is falling for a second straight day and the chip trade is reviving as futures point higher, even with crude near $90 and a fresh 50% tariff on Canadian goods. Both systematic strategies open near fully invested, spread across three benchmarks and seven real-economy sectors, positioned to catch the bounce without leaning on any single name.

Brad Roth
Brad Roth
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